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Leader in active quantitative equities across Australian equities, global equities, emerging markets and global small companies.

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Stewart Investors manage investment portfolios on behalf of our clients over the long term and have held shares in some companies for over 20 years. They launched their first investment strategy in 1988.

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Global Listed Infrastructure monthly review and outlook

Global Listed Infrastructure monthly review and outlook

A monthly review and outlook of the Global Listed Infrastructure sector.

Market review - as at March 2025

Global Listed Infrastructure gained in March as the threat of US tariffs and an unpredictable political and economic backdrop drove demand for defensive assets. The best performing infrastructure sector was Other (+6%). Satellites rose on the view that a shifting geopolitical landscape — and the loosening of Germany’s fiscal rules — may enable European operators to recover. Emerging Markets container port stocks also gained. This “risk-off” environment also drove strong performance from the more defensive segments of the global listed infrastructure opportunity set. Water / Waste (+5%) and Utilities / Renewables (+3%) stocks gained on the appeal of their lack of sensitivity to tariffs and the broader economic environment, and inelastic demand for their essential services.

The worst performing infrastructure sector was Railroads (-5%). North American freight rail stocks declined as investors sought to assess the impact that a swathe of new US tariffs — announced on President Trump’s self-proclaimed “Liberation Day” on 2nd April — may have on freight haulage volumes. Airports (-1%) also lagged, reflecting the relative sensitivity of passenger volumes to the broader economic environment.

The best performing infrastructure region was the Asia ex-Japan (+4%), led higher by gains for the region’s utility and port stocks. The worst performing infrastructure region was Canada (flat), owing primarily to lacklustre performance from its freight rail stocks.

Market outlook and Strategy

The Portfolio invests in a range of listed infrastructure assets including toll roads, airports, railroads, utilities and renewables, energy midstream, wireless towers and data centres. These sectors share common characteristics, like barriers to entry and pricing power, which can provide investors with inflation-protected income and strong capital growth over the medium-term. 

Trump’s early-April “Liberation Day” tariff announcement has caused turbulence in financial markets. Equity markets fell sharply on investor uncertainty and concerns about potential risks to the global economy. If the tariffs are implemented in their current form, the likeliest outcomes appear to be a period of slower economic growth and higher inflation. Typically, these conditions favour the global listed infrastructure asset class, at least in relative terms. Infrastructure growth is less dependent on the economic cycle, and many infrastructure assets have a proven ability to recover inflation. Recent falls in bond yields are also likely to prove supportive of infrastructure valuations.

At a sector level we anticipate that tariffs will have varied impacts. They are likely to be positive – at least on a relative basis – for the more defensive infrastructure sectors such as regulated utilities, mobile towers and toll roads, for the reasons noted above. Tariffs may prove challenging in the short term for some of the more economically sensitive sectors. For example, North American freight rail stocks would be sensitive to lower haulage volumes. We would note that tariff risks for Mexico and Canada – the most relevant countries to this sector outside the US – appear to have been largely priced in. Looking ahead, a key aim of the tariffs is to strengthen domestic manufacturing. The resulting onshoring drive is likely to be positive for freight rail stocks.

Energy midstream may also see a near-term slowdown as tariffs dampen energy prices, reflecting expectations of a weaker economy. However, balance sheets are in better shape than previous cycles and the sector should benefit over the medium term as domestic onshoring leads to a stronger energy demand outlook within the US, particularly for natural gas. Supply chain issues may also challenge the US renewables build-out, as the cost of imported solar panel and offshore wind farm equipment increases. Regulated US utilities should be shielded from these impacts, as their regulated business models enable rising costs to be passed through to customer bills.

Overall, we believe that the asset class remains well-positioned to perform defensively through this period of market disruption.

Source : Company data, First Sentier Investors, as of 31 March 2025.

 

Important Information

This material is prepared by First Sentier Investors (Singapore) (“FSI”) (Co. Reg No. 196900420D) whose views and opinions expressed or implied in the material are subject to change without notice. To the extent permitted by law, FSI accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss, whether direct or indirect, arising from any use of or reliance on this material. This material is published for general information and general circulation only and does not have any regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs  of any specific person who may receive this material. Investors may wish to seek advice from a financial adviser  and should read the Prospectus, available from First Sentier Investors (Singapore) or any of our Distributors  before deciding to subscribe for the Fund. In the event that the investor chooses not to seek advice from a  financial adviser, he should consider carefully whether the Fund in question is suitable for him. Past  performance of the Fund or the Manager, and any economic and market trends or forecast, are not indicative of the future or likely performance of the Fund or the Manager. The value of units in the Fund, and any income  accruing to the units from the Fund, may fall as well as rise. Investors should note that their investment is exposed to fluctuations in exchange rates if the base currency of the Fund and/or underlying investment is  different from the currency of your investment. Units are not available to US persons.

Applications for units of the Fund must be made on the application forms accompanying the prospectus. Investments in unit trusts are not obligations of, deposits in, or guaranteed or insured by First Sentier Investors (Singapore), and are subject to risks, including the possible loss of the principal amount invested.

Reference to specific securities (if any) is included for the purpose of illustration only and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell the same. All securities mentioned herein may or may not form part of the holdings of FSI’s portfolios at a certain point in time, and the holdings may change over time.

In the event of discrepancies between the marketing materials and the Prospectus, the Prospectus shall prevail.

In Singapore, this material is issued by First Sentier Investors (Singapore) whose company registration number is 196900420D. This advertisement or material has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. First Sentier Investors (registration number 53236800B), FSSA Investment Managers (registration number 53314080C), Stewart Investors (registration number 53310114W), RQI Investors (registration number 53472532E) and Igneo Infrastructure Partners (registration number 53447928J) are the business divisions of  First Sentier Investors (Singapore).

First Sentier Investors (Singapore) is part of the investment management business of First Sentier Investors,  which is ultimately owned by Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. (“MUFG”), a global financial group. First  Sentier Investors includes a number of entities in different jurisdictions.

To the extent permitted by law, MUFG and its subsidiaries are not responsible for any statement or information contained in this material. Neither MUFG nor any of its subsidiaries guarantee the performance of any investment or entity referred to in  this material or the repayment of capital. Any investments referred to are not deposits or other liabilities of MUFG or its subsidiaries, and are subject to investment risk, including loss of income and capital invested.